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Updated 27 June 2010.  Parents are often concerned about the competition for places or vacancies available for Primary One Registration in the year for which their loved ones are due.  Traditionally, the birth rate peaks during the Year of the Dragon.

For the convenience of parents, we have mapped Singapore's birth rate data for the years 2000-2007, against the available vacancies for Primary One Registration in the years 2006-2013 (of course, we only have the data up to 2009).

Note that the Birth Sign refers to children who are due for Primary One Registration for that year, ie. they will be attending Primary One in the following year.

For the last 4 years since 2006, while it is generally true that lower birth rates lead to lower available places in Primary 1, there are anomalies where the available places actually increased slightly even though the birth rate fell, ie. between 2007 to 2008.  Obviously, our Ministry of Education has access other data such as the number of foreign-born children that are likely to be vying for places during those years and has made provisions as such.

From the chart, we can see that 2009-2011 has almost the same birth rates.  It is therefore likely that we will see the same number of places allocated by MOE in 2009 for Primary 1 Registration for the next 2 years.  In the case of 2010, we can see that it is closely correlated to the rate in 2009, as the number of places offered is slightly lower in 2010 than 2009, following the trend of the birthrate.  Any variation is most likely attributed to changes in the number of foreign-born children.

Note that this is based on data that is publicly available from the Department of Statistics and Ministry of Education, and we do NOT profess our processing to be accurate or official.  Take this with a pinch of salt.